Monday, 1 December 2014

A Year of Struggles and Talent (Team Review)

As Christmas draws near, 2015 gets one week closer. With only two seats left to be confirmed, (Plus Two if Caterham can return) I've decided to this week weigh my views on the driver and team changes for the 2015: F1, GP2/3 and IndyCar Seasons.


Formula One


Here's the 2014 Analysis and 2015 Line Up with commentary for the top 5 teams.


Mercedes


2014 Line Up- 701 Points                                   2015 Line Up
Hamilton- 384 Points   11 Wins                         Hamilton
Rosberg - 317 Points   5 Wins                            Rosberg


There's no other way to describe the 2014 Season for Mercedes that hasn't already been said. The dominance that they've achieved is something that not even Red Bull or Ferrari can say they've achieved. Anything other than a repeat would be a disappointment in 2015. And that includes the intense Rivalry. Rosberg has the mental and physical strength to come back fighting next year, as does Hamilton. It's just a question of whether the other teams can get in their way a bit more.


Red Bull


2014 Line Up- 405 Points                                     2015 Line Up
Ricciardo- 238 Points 3 Wins                               Ricciardo
Vettel- 167 Points Best Finish 2nd (Singapore)  Kvyat


The many doubters of Vettel who believed his success between 2010 and 2013 could only be reinforced by his 2014 performances. This year he could not catch Ricciardo and there were times such as Britain and Monaco where he could rarely keep a lid on his frustration. On the morning of the Japanese Grand Prix, the announcement came that Vettel would be leaving the team after the season. It has since been confirmed that his new home is at Ferrari. Ricciardo cemented his place as best of the rest by being the only driver other than the two Mercedes to win a race. A feat he achieved three times at Canada, Hungary and Belgium. Whenever Rosberg and Hamilton wounded themselves, Ricciardo was always there to pick up the pieces. In 2015 Red Bull will hope to bring themselves back to the fight with the Mercedes. Both Adrian Newey and Sebastian Vettel leaving the team wont help. The variable in this equation is the New Arrival of Daniil Kvyat. One of the most feisty new racers of recent years.


Williams


2014 Line Up- 320 Points                                                          2015 Line Up
Bottas- 186 Points Best Finish 2nd (Britain, Germany)        Bottas
Massa- 134 Points Best Finish 2nd (Abu Dhabi)                    Massa


Many Pundits of the sport are expecting a return to the front for Williams in 2015, I personally have a more pessimistic prediction for the team. 2012 looked like a return to form for the Williams team that had suffered bad pace since 2004. However despite a win from Maldonado, the team lost more than one podium and points finish due to inconsistency from their drivers, Pastor Maldonado and Bruno Senna. he following year their pace was nowhere. One can't help but the yoyo effect Williams has had will repeat itself. Despite Bottas beating Massa over the course of 2014, Massa finished ahead of Bottas for the final three races of 2014. Massa will hope he can keep his edge over Bottas. Wherever they are in terms of pace next season.


Ferrari


2014 Line Up-216 Points                                                             2015 Line Up
Alonso- 161 Points Best Finish 2nd (Hungary)                        Raikkonen
Raikkonen- 55 Points Best Finish 4th (Belgium)                     Vettel


Many, including myself, hoped 2014 would be a return to glory for the Prancing Horse. Many, including myself and many Tifosi were left with disappointment. From the first qualifying session it was apparent that Raikkonen was struggling with the change from Lotus to Ferrari, and except for stand out performances in Monaco and Belgium, it was a struggle that stayed for the year. It was apparent from the very first year that work was needed on the car, it was already worse than their 2013 car. The many personnel changes this year have made Alonso leave the team. Something not many were expected. It is a mystery as to what Ferrari promised Vettel that persuaded him to switch, but one must feel it's on the scale of whatever Mercedes told Hamilton that persuaded him.


McLaren


2014 Line Up-181 Points                                                             2015 Line Up
Button-126 Points Best Finish 3rd (Australia)                         TBA
Magnussen- 55 Points Best Finish 2nd (Australia)                  TBA


With one seat all but confirmed for Alonso, the 2nd half  of 2014 was a fight between the current drivers that, due to penalties (Belgium and Italy) and difficult races (Japan) for Magnussen, was won by Button, on paper anyway. I follow the view of many. My heart wants Button to fill the seat alongside Alonso following the year he's had. 2014 began in sorrow for Jenson after his father died. This was followed by the podium he never got to celebrate in Melbourne, which would end up being his only of the season. My head however believes Magnussen will get the seat. He began the season with many inevitable comparisons to fellow McLaren protégé Lewis Hamilton. No Matter the driver line-up a 3rd consecutive 5th place in 2015 would be unacceptable. Especially with the new Honda partnership.


Force India


2014 Line Up- 155 Points                                                                                          2015 Line Up
Hulkenberg- 96 Points Best Finish 5th (Malaysia, Bahrain, Monaco, Canada) Hulkenberg
Perez- 59 Points Best Finish 3rd (Bahrain)                                                            Perez




Toro Rosso


2014 Line Up- 30 Points                                                                     2015 Line Up
Vergne- 22 Points Best Finish 6th (Singapore)                                Verstappen
Kvyat- 8 Points Best Finish 9th (Australia, Britain, Belgium)       Sainz Jr




Lotus


2014 Line Up- 10 Points                                          2015 Line Up
Grosjean- 8 Points                                                   Grosjean
Maldonado- 2 Points                                               Maldonado




Marussia


2014 Line Up- 2 Points                                                                    2015 Line Up
Bianchi (Race 1-15) Best Finish 9th (Monaco)                             N/A (Team Defunct)
Chilton (Race 1-16) Best Finish 13th (Australia, Bahrain)        




Sauber


2014 Line Up- 0 Points                                                  2015 Line Up
Sutil Best Finish 11th (Australia. Hungary)               Ericsson
Gutierrez Best Finish 12th (Australia)                        Nasr




Caterham


2014 Line Up- 0 Points                                                                   2015 Line Up
Ericsson (1-16) Best Finish 11th (Monaco)                                  TBA
Kobayashi (1-16 and 19) Best Finish 13th (Malaysia, Monaco) TBA
Lotterer (11) Best Finish RET (Belgium)
Stevens (19) Best Finish 17th (Abu Dhabi)






Indycar


The Merge of Sarah Fisher Racing and Ed Carpenter Racing has made this team a contender. Ed Carpenter will continue his driving on Oval role as well as his team owner role. Josef Newgarden also retains his seat.


With Hinchcliffe off to Schmidt Peterson Racing, Andretti has not announced a 4th driver alongside Hunter- Reay, Munoz and Marco Andretti.


Champion Will Power could reach breaking point as his well documented rival Simon Pagenaud joins him alongside Montoya and Castroneves at Team Penske.


With Briscoe out at Ganassi, no 4th driver has been announced alongside Dixon, Kimball and Kanaan, who all desperately need a better year than 2014.


AJ Foyt keeps Sato and attains Bryan Herta driver Jack Hawksworth. KV Racing keeps Bourdais while Rahal Letterman Racing keeps Graham Rahal.


The only new full scheduled team Fan Force United has confirmed Stefan Wilson. It is currently unknown whether his brother Justin will return to the series.


GP2


Red Bull young driver Pierre Gasly dominated post season testing while driving in the DAMS car. The Frenchman has been linked to a 2015 seat with the team alongside Stoffel Vandoorne.


Following Caterham's woes their GP2 team has been sold to Status Grand Prix. Who will run both GP2 and GP3 in 2015


So far the only confirmed drivers in GP2 are Julian Leal at Carlin, Arthur Pic at Campos and Andre Negrao at Rapax


So far Felipe Nasr is the only 2014 Graduate in GP2 to move to F1. He will drive for Sauber next year alongside Marcus Ericsson.













Monday, 24 November 2014

The Fight ends. 2015 is Calling

Unfortunately we're at that time of the season. 110 Days until we arrive back at Melbourne. Naturally in this part of the season, many look for discussions about the sport, while I and many others look for reason to discuss the sport. This university project is my way of weighing my own opinions about the world of motorsport that I follow (F1, GP2, GP3, Formula E, NASCAR and Indycar). Naturally I have my personal favourites in each category, however I try to remain as unbiased as possible. I hope to update this blog every Monday.




F1




The dust has settled and the fight ends with Lewis Hamilton taking a long awaited 2nd World Championship. In the years to come, the fans who have not yet begun watching will look back at the 67 point lead and 11 wins that Hamilton ends with and only see this as a sign that this was another year that was dominated by one sole person.






 In my opinion, we just witnessed the greatest season ever recorded in F1 history. Yes it did not contain the 7 wins in 7 races of 2012, or the 4 man title decider of 2010 or the complete uncertainty that was 1982. What we got was the fight between friends that has been building for nearly 12 years.
Two of the sports finest racers created the kind of on track chemistry and tension we haven't seen since Senna-Prost. Their motivation and near-desperation to not only be the greatest, but call themselves the better of the prodigies was apparent in all 19 races this year.


That was last year. 2015 is calling.


Next week I'll be giving my opinions team by team of what I believe 2015 holds for each team and driver. Can Felipe Nasr and Marcus Ericsson rebuild the broken Sauber? Can Rosberg let go of a missed opportunity cruelly taken away through no fault of his own? Is Vettel's choice akin to Hamilton's 2012 Mercedes Switch?




GP2/3




This Years GP2/3 championships have been a lot more straight forward than F1. In GP2 the DAMS of Jolyon Palmer took the title 3 races early in Russia after an early challenge from Felipe Nasr. In GP3, Alex Lynn's rivals tripped over themselves allowing the brit to get away to the front and take the championship in Race 1 at Abu Dhabi.


Jolyon's future is not optimistic, with only seats at: McLaren, Toro Rosso and Caterham available. McLaren are set to keep one of their current drivers alongside Fernando Alonso (My views on this next week). Palmer is not on the Toro Rosso Shortlist (Vergne, Lynn, Sainz Jr and Gasly) While Caterham need a miracle to make it to 2015. If palmer wants to keep his goal on Formula 1, it is virtually certain he can only look for a test role, a role he has already started by driving for Force India in the Abu Dhabi test Next week.


In my opinion Lynn will be in F1 next year alongside fellow rookie Max Verstappen in the Toro Rosso. Alex Lynn has copied the movement of successful red bull protégé Daniil Kvyat by signing with the Red Bull Junior programme, and then dominating the GP3 scene in his first year. In my opinion his talents outweigh Carlos Sainz Jr (Who's chance may already be gone) and Gasly (Who needs a full year in GP2 to show his worth).


Indycar


Nearly three months have passed since Will Power finally took his first championship at Fontana, Naturally in the middle of the off season news is scarce, however recently next years calendar has been announced with two new races at NOLA and Brasilia, the latter used to host the Brazilian Grand Prix many years ago and it's always exciting to see races on old school circuits.


More changes include the movement of the Sonoma Grand Prix to the end of the season, as well as the switch to move the Toronto race to a single race rather than a double header. The Event at Houston has been completely removed.


It has been reported that 2012 GP2 Champion Davide Valsecchi is to test with SPM Racing next week. In 2012 he had a very intense battle for the championship with Luiz Razia who has since made the jump to the Indy Lights Series. To see these two racing against each other again would be incredibly fascinating.


In the next couple of weeks, I'd like to discuss the driver line-up changes for next year as well as the merge between Sarah Fisher Hartman Racing and Ed Carpenter Racing


Formula E


Formula E is slowly on the rise. The interesting move to remove the formation lap caused a lot of safety and mechanical concerns.


As a series in itself I find Formula E an incredible achievement that has lived to expectations. The star line-up that includes a mix of former F1 and GP2 drivers including: Nick Heidfeld, Bruno Senna and Sam Bird who won this weekend's race is great to see.


My main issue with the series is the tracks. The Beijing and Putrajaya Street Circuits have been uninspiring. I hope the next race at the Punta del Este Street Circuit in Uruguay on December 13th is different








I have written quite a lot on this first post so I hope I have covered enough ground to keep people interested. I'll be back next Monday.


Thanks for Reading